Rashtriya Janata Dal’s (RJD) Tejashwi Yadav-led opposition alliance in Bihar is likely to win more seats than the incumbent National Democratic Alliance (NDA) and possibly cross the majority mark according to the aggregate of exit polls released today. Chief Minister Nitish Kumar — who had declared this would be his last election while campaigning — is in the second position in these polls televised after three phases of voting completed in the state.
This is a remarkable performance by rookie Tejashwi Yadav in the absence of the charismatic — albeit corrupt — Lalu Prasad Yadav serving jail terms for his proven involvement in the fodder scam of the 1990s.
Calculating a poll of polls leads one to the conclusion that the opposition coalition will win 124 of Bihar‘s 243 seats and the NDA 103. It gives Chirag Paswan’s Lok Janshakti Party (LJP) six seats.
A party or coalition needs 122 to attain the majority mark in the 243-seat Bihar assembly.
Times Now-C Voter gives 116 to the NDA and a slight lead for the opposition at 120. It says Chirag Paswan’s party will win a seat.
Republic TV-Jan Ki Baat gave between 118 and 138 seats to the opposition alliance and 91-117 seats to the ruling NDA. Chirag Paswan’s party is likely to win five to eight seats, it says.
TV9 Bharatvarsh gives the Tejashwi Yadav-led alliance 120 seats and 115 seats to the NDA. The LJP could win four, it says.
CNN News 18-Today’s Chanakya predicts a landslide for Tejashwi Yadav’s alliance at 180. The NDA, it says, will be restricted to 55 and the LJP, zero.
According to News X-dvresearch, the NDA is getting from 110 to 117 seats and the opposition from 108 to 123. The LJP is seen to win four to 10 seats.
Dainik Bhaskar is the outlier, giving the NDA 120 to 127 and the opposition 71 to 81. The LJP is given 12 to 23 seats.
An India Today-Axis poll on the preferred chief minister says 44% picked Tejashwi Yadav and Nitish Kumar is second to his former deputy with 35%.