26.4 C
New Delhi
Wednesday 23 October 2019
India Elections Sena needs alliance desperately; BJP can do without it:...

Sena needs alliance desperately; BJP can do without it: Poll

This opinion poll found out also how the Congress and NCP would fare without an alliance; like the Shiv Sena, they will both regret it


- Advertisment -

New Delhi/Mumbai: The Maharashtra Assembly election is going to be among the first two state polls to be held after the return of the Narendra Modi-led government at the Centre. In this opinion poll, Shiv Sena appears to be in a desperate need for the alliance with the BJP.

The Election Commission said today that Assembly elections for 288 seats in Maharashtra will be held on 21 October and the results will be declared on 24 October.

Following the announcement of the elections, a series of opinion polls from news channels and survey agencies have started. According to an opinion poll by ABP News/C-Voter — Sirf News has earlier published their poll on the Haryana election — the BJP’s return to power in Maharashtra is certain. The poll says the BJP will once again emerge as the largest party in Maharashtra, with the alliance with Shiv Sena helping NDA attain the majority, while the Congress-NCP alliance will retain the second position.

According to the opinion poll, out of a total of 288 Assembly seats in Maharashtra, the BJP-led alliance could win 205 seats. The Congress-NCP alliance may get around 55 seats. Apart from this, 28 seats are going to others.

The BJP-led alliance is getting the most votes in the Assembly election in Maharashtra. According to the poll, the ruling alliance is estimated to get 46% share of votes. The Congress-led alliance is getting 30% and others 24%.

BJP, Sena, Congress, NCP in absence of alliance

The alliances of BJP-Shiv Sena and Congress-NCP in Maharashtra have not been announced yet. If BJP-Shiv Sena and Congress-NCP alliances do not happen (hypothetically), this is how they will be placed when the election results are out, says the poll:

  • BJP: 144
  • Shiv Sena: 39
  • Congress: 21
  • NCP: 20
  • Others: 64

Even if there is not a BJP-Shiv Sena alliance, the BJP is likely to get a majority on its own.

Percentage of votes BJP, Sena, INC, NCP would get if each goes it alone

According to the opinion poll, if Maharashtra does not see any alliance, these will be the percentages of votes going to different political parties:

  • BJP: 31%
  • Shiv Sena: 15%
  • Congress: 16%
  • NCP: 12%
  • Other: 26%

No alliance would be loss for Shiv Sena, gain for BJP

If there is no alliance between BJP and Shiv Sena in Maharashtra, it will be a loss for the latter. The Shiv Sena will be reduced from 63 to the 39 seats it had got in the 2014 Assembly elections. The BJP would be the biggest beneficiary. According to the opinion poll, the BJP score will, in such a scenario, rise from 122 of 2014 to 144 seats.

If the Congress and NCP do not form an alliance, both the parties would be at a disadvantage. The Congress would slip from 42 seats in 2014 to 21 and the NCP would fall to 21 from 41 seats.

Choice of chief minister

The incumbent Devendra Fadnavis has a huge lead over the competition here according to the ABP News/C-Voter poll.

  • Devendra Fadnavis: 39%
  • Uddhav Thackeray: 6%
  • Ashok Chavan: 5%
  • Sharad Pawar: 5%

Subscribe to our newsletter

You will get all our latest news and articles via email when you subscribe

The email despatches will be non-commercial in nature
Disputes, if any, subject to jurisdiction in New Delhi

Leave a Reply


Aaditya Thackeray, Shiv Sena’s Existential Gambit

With leaders deserting Shiv Sena or debilitated with age, the party's footprint shrinking and Uddhav lacking Balasaheb's charisma, Aaditya had to step in to maintain the dynasty that has mostly been betrayed when politicians not from the Thackeray family were trusted

Karva Chauth: Faith, legend behind viewing the moon through a sieve

The legend and Karva Chauth rituals vary across Rajasthan, Uttar Pradesh, Himachal Pradesh, Madhya Pradesh, Haryana, Punjab, Delhi and, in south India, Andhra Pradesh

Pakistan-Occupied Kashmir, Here We Come!

Study Wuhan and Mamallapuram in the backdrop of the fact that things are not quite working out in China-Pakistan economic relations, notwithstanding the urge of the communist state to contain India and that of the Islamic state to challenge it

Slowdown Has Reasons Other Than GST, Demonetisation

When all economic sectors decline, the mood of the market turns sombre, turning investors all the more reluctant to pump in money; the interdependence of industries means that the slowdown suffered by one would affect many

Where China & India, Resisting & Improving Democracy, Meet

What you see in Hong Kong is China resisting democracy; what you see in Kashmir is India promoting it; a reasonably capitalist China does not offer freedom politically but India, held back at times by the choice of the people, is still opening up; there could be a point of convergence as the two nations move in opposite directions
- Advertisement -


Kartarpur Corridor: Govt yields under Sikh pilgrim pressure

However, India would ask for amendment of the Kartarpur Corridor agreement with Pakistan at any time as per the situation, said the MEA

Kamlesh Tiwari murder: Rashid, Faizan, Mohsin tough nuts to crack

While police suspect Rashid Ahmad Khurshid Ahmad Pathan to be the main conspirator, he managed to delete all photos and videos from his mobile phone before it was seized; now he claims he has nothing to do with the conspiracy to kill the former Hindu Mahasabha leader

Abhijit Banerjee emerges from meeting with PM satisfied

One could derive that sense from the way the joint winner of this year's Nobel Prize for economics narrated how Prime Minister Narendra Modi explained to him his governance model

Love jihad did not spare even a BJP leader’s daughter?

While former BJP MLA Surendra Nath Singh accuses Congress MLA Arif Masood of engineering 'love jihad', the latter, as well as 26-year-old Bharti, denies the charge

Muslim moulding-of-relief affidavit leaked before reaching SC

Just a query from the CJI and no further action against the petitioners is yet another instance after Rajeev Dhavan's act of tearing a map submitted by one of the Hindu parties where the Supreme Court was seen treating the Muslim side with kid-gloves

You might also likeRELATED
Recommended to you

%d bloggers like this: