A low-pressure area or a cyclonic disturbance has formed over Lakshadweep and the Arabian Sea which will gradually intensify into a cyclonic storm by 16 May. The India Meteorological Department (IMD) has issued a heavy rain warning for parts of Maharashtra, Kerala and Gujarat in view of the rapid intensification of Cyclone Tauktae.
Code red alert, indicating extremely heavy rains, has been reinstated in five districts of Kerala. The IMD has predicted extremely heavy rains (red alert) in Thiruvananthapuram, Kollam, Pathanamthitta, Alappuzha, and Ernakulam on 14 May.
Cyclone Tauktae which has formed over the Arabian Sea and Lakshadweep, will concentrate over the same region by Saturday morning and further intensify into a cyclonic storm on 16 May, triggering heavy rains in southern parts of the country.
“It [Cyclonic formation] is very likely to intensify into a deep depression during the next 12 hours and into a cyclonic storm [Cyclone Tauktae] during the subsequent 12 hours. It is very likely to intensify further. It is very likely to move initially north-northeastwards till today evening. It would then move north-northwestwards and reach near Gujarat coast by 18 May morning,” the IMD says.
Light to moderate rainfall at most places in Lakshadweep with “heavy to very heavy rain at a few places with extremely heavy falls at isolated places is very likely on 14 May, heavy to very heavy falls at isolated places on 15 May and heavy rain at isolated places on 16 May”.
In Kerala, “heavy to very heavy rains are expected on 17 May and heavy to very heavy falls at isolated places are predicted on 18 May and 19 May.”
Cyclone Tauktae to bring heavy rains, Alert issued: Top point
- The IMD has declared code orange alerts, indicating heavy to very heavy rains, in seven districts of Kerala. In the backdrop of the likely formation of Cyclone Tauktae in the Arabian Sea, an orange alert has been issued in Kottayam, Idukki, Thrissur, Malappuram, Palakkad, Kozhikode, and Wayanad.
- Red alerts, issued earlier in some districts of Kerala, were lifted only to be reinstated. The IMD has now issued a code red, indicating extremely heavy rains in Thiruvananthapuram, Kollam, Pathanamthitta, Alappuzha, and Ernakulam.
- Despite a red alert, minimal rain has been witnessed in many parts of southern Kerala. In coastal areas, water has started gushing into the residential areas.
- The IMD on 13 May issued a warning that a formation of Cyclone Tauktae over the Arabian Sea is likely to bring heavy rainfall to Mumbai, some places in Goa and south Konkan region and also Gujarat.
- After intensifying into a cyclonic storm on 18 May, Cyclone Tauktae is very likely to intensify further and move north-northwestwards to Gujarat and the adjoining Pakistan coast.
- Cyclone Tauktae is likely to reach near the Gujarat coast around 18 May evening. Due to this, south Konkan and Goa region would receive light to moderate rainfall in many places on Saturday and its intensity would increase further and it would receive heavy to very heavy rainfall at a few places on Sunday and Monday, the IMD has said.
- According to the IMD, 64.5 mm to 115.5 mm rainfall in 24 hours is considered as heavy, while precipitation between 115.6 mm to 204.4 mm in 24 hours is termed as very heavy rainfall.
- Sindhudurg and Ratnagiri districts in Maharashtra will receive heavy rainfall. Similarly, the Gujarat coast will receive rainfall from 17 May onwards.
- The intensity of the rain is expected to escalate during the subsequent days with heavy to very heavy rainfall at a few places over Saurashtra and Kutch on 18 May and isolated heavy to very heavy rainfall over Kutch and adjoining southwest Rajasthan on 19 May.
- The rain will be accompanied by gusty winds with a speed ranging from 50-18 kilometres per hour in the next 5-6 days.
- The IMD has predicted heavy to very heavy rainfall in Ratnagiri and Sindhudurg districts on Sunday and Monday. Mumbai, Thane and Raigad will receive very heavy rainfall on Monday.
- While Raigad is expected to witness thunderstorms with lightning and gusty winds from Saturday, Kolhapur and Satara are expected to receive heavy to very heavy rain at isolated places in ghat areas on Sunday and Monday. A similar warning was issued for Pune on Monday only.
- The National Disaster Response Force (NDRF) has earmarked 53 teams to tackle possible after-effects of Cyclone Tauktae. Out of the 53 teams, he said, 24 have been pre-deployed or stationed on the ground while the rest are on stand-by.