The Indian Meteorological Department (IMD) this evening said that Cyclone Gulab had formed in the Bay of Bengal. As per the satellite observations at 5.30 pm on the day, the cyclone was located over northwest Bay of Bengal and was 370 km east-southeast of Gopalpur, Odisha and 440 km east of Kalingapatnam, Andhra Pradesh.
Cyclone Gulab is the third cyclone of 2021 after Tauktae and Yaas that had formed in May this year.
Like most recent storms that have crossed Indian coasts, Cyclone Gulab is rapidly intensifying too. In less than 48 hours, it intensified from low pressure (wind speed less than 34kms/hr) to a deep depression (wind speed 51 to 61kms/hr).
In the wake of the approaching storm, the IMD has forecast light to moderate intensity (2.4mm to 644mm in 24-hours) over West Bengal, Odisha and coastal Andhra Pradesh on Saturday.
On Sunday, the meteorological department has warned of very heavy to extremely heavy rain (115.6mm to over 204.4mm in 24-hours) over south Odisha, north coastal Andhra Pradesh. Heavy rain is likely over Telangana, north interior Odisha and Chhattisgarh.
Due to rough sea conditions and intense winds, fishermen have been advised against venturing into the sea till Monday.
Cyclone data of the period 1990 – 2021 show that only 14 cyclones developed during September (see table below) with just three storms between 2011 – 2021 (excluding the yet to develop Cyclone Gulab).
Cyclone series in the Bay of Bengal in September (Source: IMD)
|Year||No. of cyclones|
North Coastal Andhra Pradesh (NCAP) districts Visakhapatnam, Vizianagaram and Srikakulam were put on high alert after the IMD predicted that a deep depression over the Bay of Bengal was quite likely to intensify into a cyclone in few hours.
The IMD predicted that heavy to very heavy rainfall with isolated extremely heavy rains are very likely to over NACP tomorrow.
The deep depression over northwest and adjoining west-central Bay of Bengal moved westwards with a speed of 17 km/h in the last 6 h and lay centred over northwest and adjoining west-central Bay of Bengal about 410 km east-southeast of Gopalpur (Odisha) and 480 km east-northeast of Kalingapatnam in Srikakulam (Andhra Pradesh). It is likely to move nearly westwards and cross north Andhra Pradesh-south Odisha coasts between Kalingapatnam and Gopalpur by Sunday evening.
Director of IMD-Amaravati, Stella S, said that isolated heavy rain is likely to occur in other districts of south coastal Andhra Pradesh on Sunday. Squally winds of speed reaching 75 to 85 km/h gusting to 95 km/h very likely over west-central Bay of Bengal off Andhra Pradesh coast as a result of Cyclone Gulab. Tide waves of 0.5 m height above astronomical tide likely over Srikakulam and Vizianagaram districts and low-lying areas may get inundated.
Damages to communication and power lines, huts, damages to paddy crops, banana, papaya, and orchards are very likely. Riverine flooding and landslides are expected. The fishermen are advised not to venture into the sea till 27 September.
Under the impact of Cyclone Gulab, a situation of a flash flood, waterlogging, and inundation in low-lying areas could arise and there is a possibility of some damage to informal and kutcha road and wall collapse of the vulnerable kutcha house.
The cyclone storm will be named cyclone Gulab proposed by Pakistan.