Under the leadership of Xi Jinping, China is rapidly increasing its presence in the Indo-Pacific region. Its attitude towards India has been aggressive for decades. There has been tension on the LoAC for a long time. Xi has on several occasions asked the Chinese army to be ready for war. Why is China provoking tensions with India on the LoAC, trying to challenge the US sovereignty in every sphere of the global order? Former Additional Secretary in the Cabinet Secretariat Jayadeva Ranade, who is currently the president of the Centre for China Analysis and Strategy, believes China’s aggression is nothing but a result of its fear of the increasing importance of India in the international arena.
In an interview with the Times of India, Ranade has elaborated on his theory of the “fear” of China again after writing a 72-page article on the portal Zhihu, run under the supervision of the Beijing Municipal Communist Party.
Ranade says in the article that India may become a “big problem” for China in future. He argues that India may be far behind China on several parameters as of now, but due to a favourable age of the population and other growths, New Delhi will be able to overtake Beijing in a few years and then the tables will turn in the global arena.
The expert advises in the article that China would want to annex after Aksai Chin, PoK, Baltistan and Gilgit and then control Ladakh while helping Pakistan to capture Jammu and Kashmir. The article says China would try to separate the states of the Northeast from India too.
According to Ranade, the next few years are going to be crucial. In recent times, Xi has become very powerful in China. He is in complete charge in his country and he aspires to be immortal in history, recalled in the league of Mao Zedong and Deng Xiaoping. Xi believes, according to the former additional secretary in the Cabinet Secretariat and current president of the Centre for China Analysis and Strategy, that muscle-flexing is the way forward.
Referring to China’s devious moves, Ranade says that India is also making rapid efforts to counter the expansionist. He says that “hardline nationalist” Prime Minister Narendra Modi is not going to bow down to the bully of China. “He is engaged in countering an aggressive China in a very systematic manner,” he says. On the one hand, Modi is making alliances internationally to corner and isolate China. On the other, the prime minister is reducing the dependence of India on the supply chain dominated by China.